PORT-OF-SPAIN, Trinidad -- The effects of the current economic climate
on member states of the Caribbean Community (CARICOM) and the framework
within which the Community can achieve growth and development will be a
major agenda item at the upcoming 34th meeting of the conference of
heads of government of CARICOM.
The meeting begins in Port-of-Spain, Trinidad with an opening ceremony
on the evening of July 3, 2013, with working sessions beginning the next
day and ending on July 6.
The current economic scenario, including the slow recovery from the
global financial and economic crises, heavy debt burdens and other
exogenous developments such as the policy of graduation by international
financial institutions have had debilitating effects on the economies
of CARICOM.
Prime Minister of Saint Lucia Dr Kenny Anthony laid out the situation
starkly when he addressed the board of governors of the Caribbean
Development Bank (CDB) a month ago. The region’s vulnerabilities, he
pointed out then, were fully exposed by a global economic climate that
was “complex, uncertain and worrisome”.
“The crisis that we face was not of our making. We did not precipitate
it. What it did was to expose our weaknesses and vulnerabilities. What
could well be our fault is how we handle the aftermath of the crisis,
how we re-position our economies in that elusive search for growth,” he
said.
While there is an optimistic prognosis for a resurgence of economic
activity in developing countries in general, and while there has been
growth in some areas in CARICOM, it has not at all been widespread and
sustainability is a challenge. Several CARICOM member states have had to
approach the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for support and the CDB
has indicated that many member states were carrying unsustainable debt.
According to the CDB in its 2012 Annual Report, growth in the region “is
cautiously expected to be positive. Supported by stepped-up public
sector investment and gains in agriculture, Guyana is forecast to lead
the way with real GDP growth projected at around 5 percent. This is
followed by Belize at 3.3 percent while the region’s average output
growth had slipped to 1.0 percent in 2012 compared with 1.2 percent a
year earlier.
“Haiti is also expected to register strong growth on account of
reconstruction efforts, together with improvements from gains in the
manufacturing and agriculture. Moderate growth of 1-2 percent is
projected for most of the member countries of the Organisation of
Eastern Caribbean States (OECS), reflecting ongoing efforts at fiscal
consolidation.
“Marginal growth of less than 1 percent is projected for Barbados on the
basis of an uptick in tourism based on anticipated growth in major
markets, while in Jamaica, the outcome of IMF negotiations, which has
the potential to release resources from other multilaterals, could boost
output.”
According to the CDB, in the associate members of CARICOM which are
Overseas Territories of Great Britain, growth is also expected to be
positive based on the projected sustained recovery in offshore business
activity, together with a pickup in leisure activity in 2013.
The CDB pointed to the challenges the region faced in key sectors such
as tourism which is suffering as a result of multiple factors including
the adverse effects of the Air Passenger Duty (APD) on flights to the
Caribbean from the United Kingdom, reduced airlift and the high cost of
intraregional travel.
An assessment of the policies of the Community over the past five
decades, and a thrust that involved thinking “outside of the box” are
necessary, according to Anthony, in order to inform the decisions that
had to be made going forward with respect to transforming regional
economies.
Anthony had homed in on the need for a new development thrust in
February, at the opening of the inter-sessional meeting of the heads of
government, where he called for a “big conversation” on the future of
Caribbean economies, and had expressed the hope that conversation be
held at the July summit. Such a discussion, he had said, would provide
an opportunity to chart a new paradigm for growth, review the role and
performance of regional institutions to determine how they could better
assist in the restoration of growth to regional economies.
The heads of government are expected to lead that assessment and provide
direction on a new approach during this 34th meeting, which is being
held as the Community celebrates 40 years of integration in the country
where the founding Treaty of Chaguaramas was signed in July 1973.
No comments:
Post a Comment